{"id":2194,"date":"2006-12-14T20:22:53","date_gmt":"2006-12-14T20:22:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/?p=2194"},"modified":"2006-12-14T20:22:53","modified_gmt":"2006-12-14T20:22:53","slug":"notes-from-daniel-kahneman","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/notes-from-daniel-kahneman\/","title":{"rendered":"Notes from Daniel Kahneman"},"content":{"rendered":"

### Conditions for expertise<\/p>\n

* Rapid and unequivocal feedback<\/p>\n

### Error and Overconfidence<\/p>\n

* “The best way of doing subjective judgment is as an input to an algorithm”<\/p>\n

* The “experts” never learn from their mistakes<\/p>\n

* As soon as something happens that they didn’t predict:<\/p>\n

* They understand why, and immediately write it off as “I won’t do that again”<\/p>\n

* They exaggerate any hedges that they had made in that direction<\/p>\n

* They introduce counterfactuals: “Well, it almost happened”<\/p>\n

### Model of the mind<\/p>\n

General trend in psychology to split thinking into 2 groups<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n

Intuition<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Reasoning<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\n

Fast<\/p>\n

Parallel<\/p>\n

Automatic<\/p>\n

Effortless<\/p>\n

Associative<\/p>\n

Slow-learning<\/p>\n

Emotional<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Slow<\/p>\n

Serial<\/p>\n

Controlled<\/p>\n

Effortful<\/p>\n

Rule-governed<\/p>\n

Flexible<\/p>\n

Neutral<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Most judgments and actions are intuitive, and “good enough”<\/p>\n

Perception and intuition similar in how they work; but DIFFERENT in what they work on!<\/p>\n

* Perceptions: current situations, event-based, stimuli<\/p>\n

* Intuition: cognitive tasks, other things reasoning deals with–but this comes from your culture, upbringing, language, etc<\/p>\n

Framing\/attribute substitution<\/p>\n

* Questionnaire asked students “how happy are you” and “how many dates did you go on last month”?<\/p>\n

* Correlation between the two was entirely based on which order they were asked in (dating then happy, strong correlation; happy then dating, no correlation)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

### Conditions for expertise * Rapid and unequivocal feedback ### Error and Overconfidence * “The best way of doing subjective judgment is as an input to an algorithm” * The “experts” never learn from their mistakes * As soon as something happens that they didn’t predict: * They understand why, and immediately write it off…more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[335],"class_list":["post-2194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy","tag-economics-psychology"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9wjHJ-zo","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2194","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2194"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2194\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2194"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2194"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bob.ryskamp.org\/brain\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2194"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}