World

The impact of the future

I recently read an article bemoaning the recent spate of dystopian and utopian movies; arguing that by visualizing dire fictional situations and how those characters get out of them, we dull our responses to the real-world dangers all around us. Rather than learning helpful attitudes and strategies, we learn to be spectators.

At least that’s what I think it said, because I couldn’t find the article again when looking for it. I did find several other interesting pieces referencing this topic, however, that are worth noting.

Todd Mitchell writes that “[post-apocalyptic books offer us an escape from denial](http://toddmitchellbooks.com/what-dystopian-and-post-apocalyptic-books-say-about-us/)”–specifically, the denial of deep-seated problems in our society, environment, and selves. He views it as a starting point for action:

> In some ways this is similar to the Greek notion of catharsis, but it’s not quite the same thing. Where catharsis offers an audience a way to release emotion (and blow off some steam), dystopian and post-apocalyptic books offer us a way to escape the constant cultural need to deny the underlying problems of our society.

Noah Berlatsky uses Ursula K. Le Guin’s [Always Coming Home](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Always_Coming_Home) (on my nightstand now) to argue that dystopias, to the utopian protagonists, are “[not a nightmare of the future, but a nightmare that there is a future at all](http://www.theawl.com/2015/07/the-utopia-at-the-end-of-the-world)—and a past, and a series of exciting events connecting the two. To be in history is to be in a dystopic narrative illusion.” To those who imagine a better world, a dynamic system is terrible–far better to get to a perfect place and never change a thing.

Claire Evans writes that what we need isn’t more far-future utopias *or* dystopias–rather, we need “[something new: a form of science fiction that tackles the radical changes of our pressing and strange reality](http://creativetimereports.org/2015/08/20/claire-l-evans-anthropocene-fiction/).”

> But purely apocalyptic stories don’t help us reckon with reality’s slower, but equally devastating, emergencies – forests that vanish acre by acre, sea levels that rise a few millimeters each year, demand for consumer goods that gradually leech the planet’s resources…

> The point is to show them not just how the story ends but how we might get through the middle – while we still have a shot at changing it.

In response to the newest installments of _Star Trek_ and _Mad Max_, Brogan Morris writes that [dystopias and utopias face different challenges in impacting society](https://newhumanist.org.uk/articles/4918/mad-max-and-the-function-of-cinematic-dystopia). Utopias can give us a free pass to sit back and let problems inevitably solve themselves:

> Glorious utopian visions like Star Trek’s, though, all too often fail to address contemporary issues. Such optimism tends to ignore problems by implying the future is rosy regardless of our actions today…

> Interstellar’s conclusion is troublingly cheerful, though: when an advanced, spacetime-manipulating future race comes to the rescue at the eleventh hour, humanity is saved. A sideswiping twist, to be sure, but one based in impossible pseudo-science, offering hope that’s totally out of our reach. It suggests our survival as a species is inevitable, if only we sit back and wait for something other than ourselves to save us.

While dystopias can leave us too depressed to act:

> In Fury Road, what’s left of the human race continues to wage war and wring the Earth dry of fossil fuels, even though the planet is already a desert as a consequence of man’s actions (and simultaneous inaction)…its subtext couldn’t be more serious: we either divest and disarm, or lose the world to more chaos, more hardship, more despair.

The best approach seems to be providing hope without a free pass; challenge without despair; a thread of possibility leading out of the darkness:

> It’s difficult to measure the impact of dystopian fiction on film. We know 1983’s speculative nuclear holocaust drama The Day After so depressed Ronald Reagan that it convinced him to rethink his ideas on nuclear proliferation…Such concrete examples of dystopian cinema having a direct meaningful influence, however, are rare. The best dystopian films instead tend to contribute to ongoing discussions or create indelible images of our fears of tomorrow.

In Stuart Candy’s 2010 thesis [The Futures of Everyday Life](http://www.scribd.com/doc/68901075/Candy-2010-The-Futures-of-Everyday-Life), he notes that there isn’t yet a great framework for measuring the impact of futures work (especially the experiential kind he practices):

> To discuss such seemingly disparate configurations in terms of their experiential features and impact enables a perspective which has X-ray glasses with respect to conventional boundaries of discipline, medium and setting; boundaries that hide their fundamental comparability…

> A valuable next step in the research agenda suggested by this would be to design and implement more systematic evaluations, such as ethnographic observation or post-intervention questionnaires of participants across different conditions.

Futurist pioneer Fred Polak noted in [The Image of the Future](http://smile.amazon.com/The-Image-Future-Enlightening-Orientating/dp/B001OZS90I?sa-no-redirect=1) that in order to imagine a different world, we must mentally separate ourselves into the real and “The Other”:

> Man is only able to conceive of the existence of The Other, the something which is basically different from the here and now, because his mental structure has a
dividing property built into it. … It is the capacity for mental division which enables man to be a citizen of two worlds, this world and an imagined world.

Does imagining the “other” living in a different world cause us to draw closer to it, or to give up our hope of reaching that place? The key seems to be connecting our real selves to that imagined place, perhaps through experiences of the type Candy designs.

The Kony 2012 phenomenon gives new insight into these issues. As Dinaw Mengestu writes, [Joseph Kony turned out to be more than “a click away”](http://www.warscapes.com/reportage/not-click-away-joseph-kony-real-world):

> The most common defense of Kony 2012 is that it raises awareness. This is the new activist model – to raise awareness through the power of our celebrities…[But] no one denies that Kony should be brought to justice. Millions of Americans may not have known that before, but millions of Africans have, and thousands of people have been working valiantly for years to do just that.

> Change has never come with a click, or a tweet; lives are not saved by bracelets. We all want solutions, but why should we think or expect an easy one exists for a twenty-year-old conflict in Uganda when we have none for the wars we’re engaged in now…

> If we care, then we should care enough to say that we need to know more, that we don’t have an easy answer, but that we’re going to stay and work until we find one. You can’t put that on a t-shirt or a poster. You can’t tweet that, but you can live by it.

At the end of the day, there is change that you feel, and change that you live. We need to find ways to create more of the latter.

Fossil fuels, our starter engine

> The fossil fuel deposits of our Spaceship Earth correspond to our automobile’s storage battery which must be conserved to turn over our main engine’s self-starter. Thereafter, our “main engine,” the life regenerating processes, must operate exclusively on our vast daily energy income from the powers of wind, tide, water, and the direct Sun radiation energy. – [Buckminster Fuller](http://mxplx.com/meme/2900/)

I reference this idea often but had forgotten the source. [Buckminster Fuller](http://www.bfi.org/about-fuller), of course.

Design as politics in a changing world

A well-written argument that [“politics”–built from mindfulness, personal commitment, and creative design–is as important to the climate crisis as science and technology](http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/04/06/climate-change-needs-the-politics-of-the-impossible.html):

> [We have], basically, two ways out. One is extraordinary technology…[the other] is extraordinary politics: politics that goes beyond the usual interest-swapping and sets new commitments for the country and the world…

Does our culture still have the courage–and the harmony–to commit to real change based on moral beliefs?

> Consider the end of slavery—not in the US, but in the British Empire, which abolished the practice thirty years before the Emancipation Proclamation, by an act of Parliament, with compensation to slaveholders…the historians’ view these days is that British emancipation was, in fact, a wildly expensive and disruptive moral commitment, executed through extraordinary politics…

> [We need], in incremental and experimental ways, to keep building up a real politics of climate change. That politics will be both environmentalist and human-oriented, because there’s no separating the two in the age of climate change. It will have to ask how the peoples of the world are going to live together and share its benefits and dangers, and also how we are going to use, preserve, and transform the world itself.

That sounds like real design to me. See also Dan Hill’s [Dark Matter & Trojan Horses](http://www.cityofsound.com/blog/2012/08/dark-matter-trojan-horses-strategic-design-vocabulary.html).

Growing block universe

[This has always been my hunch for how time and space physically work](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Growing_block_universe). Apparently it’s got lots of holes in it but as Wikipedia says, it is “closer to common sense intuitions than the alternatives”.

AidPod: Truly great design

I love [the ColaLife AidPod](http://www.colalife.org/about/aidpod/):

* Designed to fit in the empty space in Coca-Cola shipping crates, piggybacking on the most successful distribution network in the world
* Provides diarrhea medicine (the Kit Yamoyo) along with literacy-not-required instructions
* The sustainable business model provides value at every step of the supply chain

That’s great design. You can [help fund the AidPod project at Global Giving](http://www.globalgiving.org/projects/colalife-aidpods-for-african-children/).

Update Interesting follow-up: the founder says that actually [fitting into Coca-Cola crates wasn’t important after all](http://www.colalife.org/2013/05/30/the-colalife-innovation-map-take-2/)… but it drove them to simplify the product in ways that made it successful.

When the lights go down in the city

Some beautiful images of what cities–and the sky–would look like without lights.

Make your own planet

A fun tool takes Google Streetviews and [morphs them into planet-like objects](http://notlion.github.com/streetview-stereographic/#o=.097,0,-.006,.995&z=1.938&mz=16&p=37.42718,-122.16710):

Empathy and imagination

> Is it possible that, we human beings–who are soft-wired for empathic distress–is it possible we could actually extend our empathy to the entire human race as an extended family, and to our fellow creatures as part of our evolutionary family, and to the biosphere as our common community?

> If it’s possible to imagine that, then we may be able to save our species and save our planet. And…if it’s impossible to even imagine that, I don’t see how we’re going to make it.

– [Jeremy Rifkin on “The Empathic Civilization”](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l7AWnfFRc7g)

Swapping manufacturing jobs for design ones?

U.S. manufacturing is rapidly going away, exemplified by [this story about Apple](http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/22/business/apple-america-and-a-squeezed-middle-class.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all) which shows the power of scale and cultural advantages in China and other Asian countries. Thus ends a century of American innovation in manufacturing, starting in the days of Henry Ford and the assembly line and reaching its zenith in and after WWII.

I’ve always felt like design is a more sustainable industry for nations, as no one can better design for a culture than its own citizens–and I say that as someone whose current job is to design for other cultures. As Apple itself shows, design “alone” can create huge amounts of wealth for companies and individuals. But it’s still unclear whether a culture can sustain itself by only designing, and outsourcing the manufacturing of, the products and services it uses.

Of course there’s no guarantee at all that the number of jobs in the world will exactly equal the number of people in it. I just hope that the work we’re doing to evolve design practice provides enough fulfilling work for enough people to get us to a sustainable place–worldwide.

10 minutes of gratitude

I think [watching this](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXDMoiEkyuQ) would be a pretty good way to start each day; filmmaker Louie Schwartzberg explores gratitude, mindfulness, and the beauty of the world we live in and people we live with:

Could also be seen as the sentimental counterpart to [Louis CK’s celebration of the modern world](http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8r1CZTLk-Gk).